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A 20 year Democrat gets actually woke: #WalkAway movement
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richk449
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Joined: 24 Oct 2003
Posts: 345

PostPosted: Wed Sep 02, 2020 4:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Doctor wrote:
Polls show Trump is headed for a landslide reelection.

What are you referring to? Both RCP and 538 models give a higher likelihood to Biden winning currently*, and you can see the polls they are based on - they pretty much all have Biden up.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html

Not that I am saying Biden is definitely going to win, or even that Biden is going to win. Just that I am not aware of any evidence that the polls show Trump winning.

* Biden's likelihood of winning is about the same as Clinton's in 2016, at least in the 538 model. Also, trend seems to be Trump getting closer.
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